Over the past few weeks, Team Obama and the Democrats have been letting out a collective sigh of relief, excited that the worst politically may be behind them and that better days were ahead: an improving economy and with it, sunnier re-election chances for Obama.
As a president running for re-election, you generally want to have this moment in say, mid-October, not in early March, but the Democrats took it and ran with it. Call it premature celebration.
ABC News and the Washington Post released a new poll today that shows voters growing increasingly—not decreasingly—annoyed with Obama’s economic “leadership.” They found that 59 percent of Americans disapprove of his handling of the economy, with 50 percent “strongly disapproving.” That’s a record low for him. 50% disapprove of his job performance overall.
Things shift quickly in politics, and Obama is likely to have more poll climbs and more poll drops. But nobody in Washington ever seems to learn the lesson that tooting one’s own horn too early can lead to major embarrassment—and to election disaster.
Obama is incredibly vulnerable: last week Gallup released a poll showing that 50% of the American people believe he’s been a “failure,” and Rasmussen Reports showed Mitt Romney leading him by 5 points.
Again, it’s early days, and a million things are likely to occur between now and election day. That means neither Obama nor the GOP should get ahead of themselves. Unless they want to play the fool.
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