We’ve all heard the complaints from “moderate” Muslim quarters about terms like “Islamofascism” and “Islamic terrorism” and so on. Such terms, they say, “unfairly associate” the act of terrorism with a single religion.
But one need only pick randomly any terror act or, in the case of the JFK plot, a prevented terror act — and look at the numbers involved. Here we had four Muslim men, two from Trinidad and two from Guyana. Let’s look in the CIA World Factbook at the population breakdown in Guyana, specifically the religious groups that the country is comprised of:
Christian 50%
Hindu 35%
Muslim 10%
other 5%
In other words, anyone from that 35% Hindu make-up of the country could have been out to get us. Someone from the 50% Christian population could have been up to some mischief with bombs. (After all, America’s unpopularity among the countries of the world is across the board, and it crosses religious boundaries.) But in a country that’s 90% not Muslim, amazingly the two arrested Guyanese plotters came from that 10% Muslim population!
Roman Catholic 26%
Hindu 22.5%
Anglican 7.8%
Baptist 7.2%
Pentecostal 6.8%
Muslim 5.8%
Seventh Day Adventist 4%
other Christian 5.8%
other 10.8%
unspecified 1.4%
none 1.9% (2000 census)
How is it that in a country that’s 22.5% Hindu, 26% Roman Catholic and only 5.8% Muslim, the terror threat is coming from that tiny Muslim quarter? After all, the country is 94.2% non-Muslim. Chances are, the threat would come from among the Roman Catholic, Hindu, Anglican, Baptist or Pentecostal communities, no?
Why o why do probabilities fail when it comes to terrorism? I mean, if it’s not a Muslim problem per se…
Incidentally, one of the terror suspects involved — Guyanese-American Russell Defreitas — has been hatching the JFK plan for 10 years, according to the AP. Ten years ago was 1997. Clinton was in office and we were in the midst of helping Muslims in the Balkans fight the Serbian Christians.
Logic and the law of probablility would dictate that surely the Serbs would be the ones plotting terrorism against us? I mean, since it’s not a Muslim problem per se…
Mickey Bozinovich of Serbianna.com sent me a “Probability Theory on Random, Unbiased Events”:
If terror were a random, unbiased event, the probability that Muslims would be involved in a terror plot and that they’d be from Guyana and Trinidad & Tobago at the same time, given the population make-up of those two countries, is (0.1) x (0.058) = 0.0058, or 0.58%.
Rephrasing this: If terror is a random, unbiased event, then there is 99.42% chance that a terrorist from Guyana and T&T would be a non-Muslim.
Numbers here clearly suggest that there is a bias in not associating Islam with terror.
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